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FIPS: 06037•Rank #43 National•Rank #1 in CA
Los Angeles County, CA
Forward-Looking Municipal Debt, Assessment Lag & Carrying Cost Audit
Elevated Tax Drift Risk
96% Conf.
Tax Drift Index
59.9/ 100
Elevated Drift Risk
Los Angeles County Executive Risk Briefing
MSRB EMMA Disclosures & US Census BureauAugust 2026
Los Angeles County carries a Elevated Tax Drift Score (59.9/100) based on $7,800 in overlapping municipal debt per capita and a +21.2% CAD assessment lag spread. Projected 3-year millage escalation of +5.13% (+513 bps) indicates an estimated +$136,960/yr escrow adjustment on median-priced properties.
Median Home: $840,000Median Income: $83,400Effective Tax: 0.8%
Municipal Debt Per Capita
$7,800
9.4% of Median Income
CAD Valuation Lag
+21.2%
Assessed Value trailing Market HPI
3-Yr Millage Escalation
+513 bps
Effective Rate: 0.8% → 5.9%
Projected Annual Escrow Shock
+$136,960/yr
Estimated on median assessed home
Overlapping Taxing Jurisdictions & Debt Obligations
Breakdown of autonomous debt issuers assessing ad valorem property taxes on parcels within Los Angeles County.
| Entity Name | Entity Type | Outstanding Bond Debt | Debt / Student or Cap | Adopted Millage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Unified School District (LAUSD) | ISD | $11.4B | $26,500 | 14.200% |
5-Year Historical Drift Score & Effective Rate Trajectory
2022
53
0.7% eff.
2023
55
0.7% eff.
2024
57
0.7% eff.
2025
59
0.8% eff.
2026
59.9
0.8% eff.
Statutory Constraint & Legislative Policy
Prop 13 limits base rate to 1% + local voter-approved bonds; newly purchased properties reset to market value creating significant assessment disparity.
Data Provenance & Audit Citations