Back to Florida Overview
FIPS: 12009•Rank #85 National•Rank #12 in FL
Brevard County, FL
Forward-Looking Municipal Debt, Assessment Lag & Carrying Cost Audit
Elevated Tax Drift Risk
96% Conf.
Tax Drift Index
53.5/ 100
Elevated Drift Risk
Brevard County Executive Risk Briefing
MSRB EMMA Disclosures & US Census BureauAugust 2026
Brevard County carries a Elevated Tax Drift Score (53.5/100) based on $5,200 in overlapping municipal debt per capita and a +21% CAD assessment lag spread. Projected 3-year millage escalation of +0.13% (+13 bps) indicates an estimated +$1,049/yr escrow adjustment on median-priced properties.
Median Home: $360,000Median Income: $71,000Effective Tax: 1.0%
Municipal Debt Per Capita
$5,200
7.3% of Median Income
CAD Valuation Lag
+21.0%
Assessed Value trailing Market HPI
3-Yr Millage Escalation
+13 bps
Effective Rate: 1.0% → 1.1%
Projected Annual Escrow Shock
+$1,049/yr
Estimated on median assessed home
Interactive Property Tax & Escrow Shock Simulator
Model forward-looking ad valorem tax obligations and monthly escrow adjustments for a specific parcel in Brevard County, FL.
$360,000
$0
Current Annual Tax
$3,672
@ 1.02% eff. rate
Year 3 Projected Tax
$4,721
@ 1.15% eff. rate
Net Escrow Increase
+$1,049/yr
+$87/mo mortgage escrow
Projected Shock Attribution Breakdown+13 bps rate shift
1. Muni Bond Debt Service
+7 bps
I&S bond amortization
2. Operating Deficit Drift
+6 bps
M&O budget expansion
3. CAD Valuation Catch-up
+$501/yr
+$49,140 assessed base
Overlapping Taxing Jurisdictions & Debt Obligations
Breakdown of autonomous debt issuers assessing ad valorem property taxes on parcels within Brevard County.
| Entity Name | Entity Type | Outstanding Bond Debt | Debt / Student or Cap | Adopted Millage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brevard Public Schools | ISD | $580.0M | $7,900 | 0.575% |
5-Year Historical Drift Score & Effective Rate Trajectory
2022
47
1.0% eff.
2023
49
1.0% eff.
2024
51
1.0% eff.
2025
52
1.0% eff.
2026
53.5
1.0% eff.
Statutory Constraint & Legislative Policy
Space Coast aerospace expansion expands the commercial tax base, stabilizing residential tax drift.
Data Provenance & Audit Citations