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FIPS: 37081•Rank #75 National•Rank #1 in NC
Guilford County, NC
Forward-Looking Municipal Debt, Assessment Lag & Carrying Cost Audit
Elevated Tax Drift Risk
96% Conf.
Tax Drift Index
55.9/ 100
Elevated Drift Risk
Guilford County Executive Risk Briefing
MSRB EMMA Disclosures & US Census BureauAugust 2026
Guilford County carries a Elevated Tax Drift Score (55.9/100) based on $5,800 in overlapping municipal debt per capita and a +19.5% CAD assessment lag spread. Projected 3-year millage escalation of +0.17% (+17 bps) indicates an estimated +$886/yr escrow adjustment on median-priced properties.
Median Home: $275,000Median Income: $64,000Effective Tax: 1.1%
Municipal Debt Per Capita
$5,800
9.1% of Median Income
CAD Valuation Lag
+19.5%
Assessed Value trailing Market HPI
3-Yr Millage Escalation
+17 bps
Effective Rate: 1.1% → 1.2%
Projected Annual Escrow Shock
+$886/yr
Estimated on median assessed home
Overlapping Taxing Jurisdictions & Debt Obligations
Breakdown of autonomous debt issuers assessing ad valorem property taxes on parcels within Guilford County.
| Entity Name | Entity Type | Outstanding Bond Debt | Debt / Student or Cap | Adopted Millage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilford County Schools | ISD | $1.2B | $17,000 | 52.000% |
5-Year Historical Drift Score & Effective Rate Trajectory
2022
49
1.0% eff.
2023
51
1.0% eff.
2024
53
1.0% eff.
2025
55
1.0% eff.
2026
55.9
1.1% eff.
Statutory Constraint & Legislative Policy
Greensboro and High Point school facility modernization bond issuances carry voter-approved debt service.
Data Provenance & Audit Citations