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FIPS: 48113•Rank #20 National•Rank #1 in TX
Dallas County, TX
Forward-Looking Municipal Debt, Assessment Lag & Carrying Cost Audit
Elevated Tax Drift Risk
96% Conf.
Tax Drift Index
64.5/ 100
Elevated Drift Risk
Dallas County Executive Risk Briefing
MSRB EMMA Disclosures & US Census BureauAugust 2026
Dallas County carries a Elevated Tax Drift Score (64.5/100) based on $8,200 in overlapping municipal debt per capita and a +19.5% CAD assessment lag spread. Projected 3-year millage escalation of +0.27% (+27 bps) indicates an estimated +$1,926/yr escrow adjustment on median-priced properties.
Median Home: $330,000Median Income: $70,600Effective Tax: 2.2%
Municipal Debt Per Capita
$8,200
11.6% of Median Income
CAD Valuation Lag
+19.5%
Assessed Value trailing Market HPI
3-Yr Millage Escalation
+27 bps
Effective Rate: 2.2% → 2.5%
Projected Annual Escrow Shock
+$1,926/yr
Estimated on median assessed home
Overlapping Taxing Jurisdictions & Debt Obligations
Breakdown of autonomous debt issuers assessing ad valorem property taxes on parcels within Dallas County.
| Entity Name | Entity Type | Outstanding Bond Debt | Debt / Student or Cap | Adopted Millage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Independent School District | ISD | $3.7B | $26,000 | 101.300% |
City of Dallas | City | $2.9B | $2,230 | 70.500% |
5-Year Historical Drift Score & Effective Rate Trajectory
2022
57
2.0% eff.
2023
59
2.1% eff.
2024
61
2.1% eff.
2025
63
2.2% eff.
2026
64.5
2.2% eff.
Statutory Constraint & Legislative Policy
Texas SB 2 enforces a 3.5% voter-approval limit; school district and hospital debt service millages drive majority of rate drift.
Data Provenance & Audit Citations