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FIPS: 48157•Rank #31 National•Rank #1 in TX
Fort Bend County, TX
Forward-Looking Municipal Debt, Assessment Lag & Carrying Cost Audit
Elevated Tax Drift Risk
96% Conf.
Tax Drift Index
62.1/ 100
Elevated Drift Risk
Fort Bend County Executive Risk Briefing
MSRB EMMA Disclosures & US Census BureauAugust 2026
Fort Bend County carries a Elevated Tax Drift Score (62.1/100) based on $9,200 in overlapping municipal debt per capita and a +22.4% CAD assessment lag spread. Projected 3-year millage escalation of +0.29% (+29 bps) indicates an estimated +$2,590/yr escrow adjustment on median-priced properties.
Median Home: $395,000Median Income: $104,000Effective Tax: 2.3%
Municipal Debt Per Capita
$9,200
8.8% of Median Income
CAD Valuation Lag
+22.4%
Assessed Value trailing Market HPI
3-Yr Millage Escalation
+29 bps
Effective Rate: 2.3% → 2.5%
Projected Annual Escrow Shock
+$2,590/yr
Estimated on median assessed home
Overlapping Taxing Jurisdictions & Debt Obligations
Breakdown of autonomous debt issuers assessing ad valorem property taxes on parcels within Fort Bend County.
| Entity Name | Entity Type | Outstanding Bond Debt | Debt / Student or Cap | Adopted Millage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Bend Independent School District | ISD | $2.6B | $32,500 | 106.500% |
5-Year Historical Drift Score & Effective Rate Trajectory
2022
55
2.1% eff.
2023
57
2.2% eff.
2024
59
2.2% eff.
2025
61
2.2% eff.
2026
62.1
2.3% eff.
Statutory Constraint & Legislative Policy
Heavy concentration of Municipal Utility Districts (MUDs) adding 0.50% - 1.20% in supplemental ad valorem tax rates.
Data Provenance & Audit Citations