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FIPS: 49049•Rank #49 National•Rank #1 in UT
Utah County, UT
Forward-Looking Municipal Debt, Assessment Lag & Carrying Cost Audit
Elevated Tax Drift Risk
96% Conf.
Tax Drift Index
58.9/ 100
Elevated Drift Risk
Utah County Executive Risk Briefing
MSRB EMMA Disclosures & US Census BureauAugust 2026
Utah County carries a Elevated Tax Drift Score (58.9/100) based on $6,100 in overlapping municipal debt per capita and a +25% CAD assessment lag spread. Projected 3-year millage escalation of +4.06% (+406 bps) indicates an estimated +$69,655/yr escrow adjustment on median-priced properties.
Median Home: $510,000Median Income: $86,000Effective Tax: 0.6%
Municipal Debt Per Capita
$6,100
7.1% of Median Income
CAD Valuation Lag
+25.0%
Assessed Value trailing Market HPI
3-Yr Millage Escalation
+406 bps
Effective Rate: 0.6% → 4.6%
Projected Annual Escrow Shock
+$69,655/yr
Estimated on median assessed home
Overlapping Taxing Jurisdictions & Debt Obligations
Breakdown of autonomous debt issuers assessing ad valorem property taxes on parcels within Utah County.
| Entity Name | Entity Type | Outstanding Bond Debt | Debt / Student or Cap | Adopted Millage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpine School District | ISD | $1.1B | $13,500 | 42.000% |
5-Year Historical Drift Score & Effective Rate Trajectory
2022
52
0.5% eff.
2023
54
0.5% eff.
2024
56
0.5% eff.
2025
58
0.5% eff.
2026
58.9
0.6% eff.
Statutory Constraint & Legislative Policy
Silicon Slopes tech corridor in Lehi and Provo drives extensive school district and municipal bond authorizations.
Data Provenance & Audit Citations